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Showing posts from July, 2018

Crypto Market Update 3

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Here is my estimated price target for Bitcoin in the short term ($9,000) - https://www.newsbtc.com/2018/07/29/bitcoin-price-weekly-analysis-btc-usd-could-test-9000/

If you haven’t noticed most cryptos are highly correlated with the movements of Bitcoin right now. So wherever Bitcoin goes, until something changes, I imagine most other cryptos will go. There is an opportunity to margin trade Bitcoin right now. The way it was explained to me is basically, you could buy small cryptos with what is called in equities as high Beta. Or you could just buy a bigger coin with a lower Beta, take on some leverage and goose your returns with lower risk. Keep in mind, margin trading is incredibly risky.


This data is thanks to - https://www.sifrdata.com/cryptocurrency-correlation-matrix/
Some pundits including Tone Vays are still saying that we will be going to $5,000 per Bitcoin before the next full on bull market. Right now, I believe that is false. I think we have a chance to break out and gain so…

Peak Facebook?

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Now that we have crypto, facebook and other FANG related stocks are less valuable. The private ledgers of these FANG companies don’t provide as much public good as the public blockchains. In the future they will become less relevant.

For example, this author describes peak facebook as a result of lower daily active users and monthly active users associated with the countries that generate cash for the company. Interestingly, the United States and Europe provide more revenue than most other regions.

https://hackernoon.com/the-one-graph-that-shows-again-that-facebooks-epic-run-has-ended-41d28a13203

Also, note that these FANG companies briefly disallowed ads related to cryptocurrency projects on their platforms. They have since retracted that block, probably because they are desperate for the revenue provided by high growth crypto. In my opinion, investing in crypto is like skiing downhill vs cross country skiing. It’s more fun because gravity is your friend. The world is going in this…